Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 114.622973 130.429609 147.928829 168.790799 193.052028 220.456415 253.867644
2025-11-30 92.396214 113.061462 137.904706 170.174383 211.277345 262.273756 330.943953
2025-12-07 76.462370 98.324590 126.142020 164.515077 216.671782 285.951282 386.382711
2025-12-14 66.648161 89.178862 119.189033 162.671389 225.036245 312.757365 448.184735
2025-12-21 60.426590 83.682295 115.915969 164.682608 238.052495 346.715098 524.404197
2025-12-28 56.788289 81.151666 116.176847 171.332401 258.114982 393.075270 626.293118
2026-01-04 53.004477 77.871113 114.795738 175.062902 273.799946 434.346600 726.293409
2026-01-11 48.591347 73.119555 110.580950 173.673843 280.799786 462.048500 807.161923
2026-01-18 45.959201 70.801708 109.807328 177.575637 296.818029 506.806469 925.825754
2026-01-25 42.782034 67.284379 106.708288 177.125664 305.056912 538.653010 1025.181276
2026-02-01 40.387667 64.799083 105.017800 178.819003 317.173947 579.015683 1148.224531
2026-02-08 37.560042 61.330873 101.322058 176.486406 321.410667 604.684684 1244.947654
2026-02-15 34.859709 58.079997 98.096092 175.422884 329.474968 642.221531 1382.514827
2026-02-22 32.793344 55.774124 96.366894 177.087667 343.468615 694.946501 1568.705853
2026-03-01 29.906755 51.730910 91.071170 171.178423 341.045271 712.077888 1673.638776
2026-03-08 27.862039 49.028450 87.980903 169.250456 346.700001 747.992802 1834.417054
2026-03-15 26.517679 47.497484 86.943349 171.354253 361.409403 807.285444 2072.096643
2026-03-22 25.839063 47.157370 88.161454 178.311150 388.094518 900.229102 2429.243337
2026-03-29 24.873874 46.170778 87.986483 182.214655 408.231147 980.698492 2773.716003
2026-04-05 23.452623 44.160891 85.538324 180.761118 415.181576 1028.164569 3030.208827
2026-04-12 22.669904 43.366175 85.526508 184.844206 436.553956 1118.786685 3455.714190
2026-04-19 21.539678 41.766604 83.662400 184.373297 446.155446 1178.375886 3794.718529
2026-04-26 20.684463 40.670016 82.780544 186.145460 461.985882 1259.366464 4238.608285